Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.001063 0.001201 0.001340 0.001490 0.001647 0.001806 0.001979
2025-06-22 0.000850 0.001049 0.001257 0.001488 0.001736 0.001992 0.002275
2025-06-29 0.000685 0.000928 0.001190 0.001489 0.001817 0.002161 0.002549
2025-07-06 0.000569 0.000846 0.001156 0.001517 0.001920 0.002351 0.002840
2025-07-13 0.000450 0.000747 0.001092 0.001504 0.001973 0.002481 0.003063
2025-07-20 0.000345 0.000653 0.001025 0.001482 0.002010 0.002588 0.003258
2025-07-27 0.000295 0.000621 0.001027 0.001535 0.002128 0.002784 0.003548
2025-08-03 0.000249 0.000587 0.001022 0.001576 0.002232 0.002960 0.003815
2025-08-10 0.000159 0.000479 0.000917 0.001492 0.002184 0.002964 0.003885
2025-08-17 0.000103 0.000407 0.000852 0.001452 0.002186 0.003019 0.004011
2025-08-24 0.000059 0.000342 0.000790 0.001411 0.002182 0.003066 0.004125
2025-08-31 0.000034 0.000305 0.000762 0.001410 0.002225 0.003166 0.004298
2025-09-07 0.000021 0.000288 0.000767 0.001459 0.002335 0.003352 0.004579
2025-09-14 0.000006 0.000250 0.000738 0.001460 0.002388 0.003471 0.004785
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000216 0.000711 0.001464 0.002441 0.003592 0.004992
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000196 0.000704 0.001493 0.002527 0.003749 0.005242
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000162 0.000669 0.001482 0.002560 0.003844 0.005418
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000128 0.000628 0.001460 0.002578 0.003919 0.005571
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000122 0.000640 0.001513 0.002692 0.004108 0.005855
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000113 0.000645 0.001554 0.002790 0.004278 0.006117
2025-11-02 NaN 0.000069 0.000566 0.001470 0.002724 0.004249 0.006145
2025-11-09 NaN 0.000045 0.000520 0.001431 0.002714 0.004287 0.006250
2025-11-16 NaN 0.000025 0.000474 0.001390 0.002700 0.004317 0.006346